Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Auguste Delaune
Reims2 - 1Auxerre
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Reims
Saturday, October 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, October 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Nice
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Reims 1-1 Auxerre
Both teams head into this fixture on a long winless run of matches, and we can envisage both continuing after a share of the spoils on Sunday. A draw may be enough to keep both sides out of the relegation places depending on results elsewhere, with the fear of defeat likely to outweigh the pursuit of victory should the match be heading in that direction. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Reims had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Auxerre |
36.5% ( 0.05) | 26.1% ( -0.08) | 37.39% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.4% ( 0.34) | 50.6% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.48% ( 0.3) | 72.51% ( -0.3) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( 0.19) | 26.84% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.86% ( 0.25) | 62.14% ( -0.25) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% ( 0.18) | 26.33% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.53% ( 0.23) | 61.47% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Reims 36.5%
Auxerre 37.39%
Draw 26.1%
| Reims | Draw | Auxerre |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.5% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.39% |
How you voted: Reims vs Auxerre
Reims
50.0%Draw
36.4%Auxerre
13.6%22
