Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9

Oct 2, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
2 - 2
Reims

Odobert (51'), Porozo (90')
Salmier (19'), Gallon (57'), Bruus (83'), Palmer-Brown (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Balogun (13'), Ito (54')
Diakite (90+4'), Agbadou (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 1-3 Troyes
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reims

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 0-3 Monaco
Sunday, September 18 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reims are missing a number of key players here and Troyes appear to be hitting good form at the right time, so all the signs point to a convincing home win. Troyes are yet to keep a clean sheet this season and with the likes of Junya Ito and Folarin Balogun in attack, Reims have enough potency to cause Troyes a few problems. It will however be a huge ask for Reims to take anything from this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Reims had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Reims
41.12% ( -0.11)	28.28% ( 0.05)	30.6% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 45.99% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.97% (

-0.16)

60.03% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.74% (

-0.12)

80.26% (

0.13)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3% (

-0.14)

28.7% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.48% (

-0.17)

64.52% (

0.18)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.5% (

-0.04)

35.5% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.74% (

-0.04)

72.26% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Troyes 41.11%

Reims 30.6%

Draw 28.27%

Troyes	Draw	Reims
1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 41.11%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.27%	0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 30.6%