A plethora of fresh injury concerns did not hamper Reims too much during their visit to Toulouse's Stadium Municipal, which is not a happy hunting ground for most teams, and Still's goal-happy troops should be backed to entertain the home crowd here.
Lorient remain suspect at the back and were fortunate to benefit from a pair of Omari howlers in their victory over Rennes, so given their recent stretch of underwhelming results on the road, Les Merlus' luck should run out here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
0.31) 
-0.65) 
