Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Metz2 - 2Reims
We said: Metz 1-2 Reims
Reims are currently sitting two points adrift of league leaders Marseille, who have played a game more, and we think that they will remain in touch with the early pacesetters by claiming a third consecutive victory on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Reims had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Reims |
40.33% ( 0.82) | 26.79% ( 0.09) | 32.88% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 51.09% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.07% ( -0.51) | 53.93% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.62% ( -0.43) | 75.38% ( 0.43) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% ( 0.21) | 26.25% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.63% ( 0.28) | 61.37% ( -0.28) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.28% ( -0.84) | 30.72% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.03% ( -1.01) | 66.97% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Metz 40.32%
Reims 32.88%
Draw 26.79%
| Metz | Draw | Reims |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.32% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.88% |
How you voted: Metz vs Reims
Metz
34.6%Draw
11.5%Reims
53.8%26
