Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Lorient |
57.48% ( -0.66) | 21.59% ( 0.14) | 20.93% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 57.9% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.77% ( 0.08) | 40.23% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.4% ( 0.08) | 62.6% ( -0.07) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.21% ( -0.17) | 13.79% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.88% ( -0.35) | 41.12% ( 0.36) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.17% ( 0.55) | 32.83% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.6% ( 0.6) | 69.4% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Lorient |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 57.48% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.59% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.36% Total : 20.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
7 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |