Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Reims in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Reims.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Lyon |
39.98% ( -0.81) | 25.61% ( -0.1) | 34.4% ( 0.91) |
Both teams to score 55.3% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3% ( 0.65) | 48.69% ( -0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.19% ( 0.59) | 70.8% ( -0.59) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.93% ( -0.12) | 24.06% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.66% ( -0.17) | 58.33% ( 0.17) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.82% ( 0.88) | 27.18% ( -0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.41% ( 1.13) | 62.58% ( -1.13) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.98% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 54 | 19 | 35 | 50 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 37 |
4 | Lille | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 35 |
5 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
6 | Lens | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 |
7 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |