We said: Reims 0-3 Rennes
Reims have proven to be a tough nut to crack for several top-five chasing teams in recent weeks, but their continued struggles in front of goal with Ekitike sidelined could bedevil them once again.
Genesio's Rennes need no lessons in breaking down a staunch rearguard and have enjoyed the rare luxury of a full week off, so we can only back Les Rouge et Noir to boost their Champions League hopes and end their hoodoo in this fixture with a convincing win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Reims had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.