Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38

May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
2 - 2
Rennes

Weah (11', 88')
Andre (25'), Sanches (57')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bourigeaud (41'), Guirassy (90+2')
Truffert (43'), Omari (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

Last Six:

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Nantes	38	7	55
10	Lille	38	0	55
11	Brest	38	-8	48

Rennes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Nice	38	16	67
5	Rennes	38	42	66
6	Strasbourg	38	17	63

Lille's squad suddenly has a fuller feel to it as the trio of Sanches, Botman and Andre return from bans, but a somewhat makeshift XI still needed no second invitation to ease past Nice. Rennes' ongoing defensive woes on the road is also a welcome statistic for the hosts, but the final third is where Genesio's side continue to excel, and we can only picture Les Rouge et Noir ending the season on top to take the Champions League race right down to the wire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Lille	Draw	Rennes
40.13% ( 0.04)	26.46% ( -0.15)	33.41% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 52.29% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.53% (

0.63)

52.46% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.86% (

0.53)

74.14% (

-0.54)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.31% (

0.31)

25.69% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.39% (

0.41)

60.61% (

-0.42)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.37% (

0.38)

29.63% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32% (

0.46)

65.68% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Lille 40.12%

Rennes 33.41%

Draw 26.45%

Lille	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.12%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.41%