Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-0 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lens |
25.4% ( -0.01) | 27.19% ( 0) | 47.4% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 45.89% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.37% ( -0.01) | 58.63% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.82% ( -0.01) | 79.18% ( 0) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.02% ( -0.01) | 38.98% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.3% ( -0.01) | 75.7% ( 0.01) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.2% ( -0.01) | 24.79% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.63% ( -0.01) | 59.37% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.29% 3-1 @ 1.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 25.4% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 13.47% 0-2 @ 9.4% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.52% 1-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |