Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-0 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.