Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 22.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Troyes |
51.59% ( 0.51) | 25.7% ( 0.01) | 22.71% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 47.39% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.66% ( -0.47) | 55.34% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.45% ( -0.39) | 76.55% ( 0.39) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% ( 0.02) | 21.49% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.46% ( 0.03) | 54.54% ( -0.03) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.36% ( -0.76) | 39.64% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.68% ( -0.71) | 76.32% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.58% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |