MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:02:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Toulouse

Lens
3 - 0
Toulouse

Openda (60', 86', 90+1')
Haidara (67'), Openda (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dejaegere (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Lens
Saturday, October 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-0 Toulouse

It is too early to tell if Toulouse can maintain their solid form at the moment, whereas Lens have proven since entering the league that they can compete and earn results against the elite sides in Ligue 1. That being said, the consistency of Lens and how comfortable they look at home has us tipping the scales in their favour for this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawToulouse
56.69% (0.0039999999999978 0) 23.46% (0.0040000000000013 0) 19.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.05% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)49.82% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (-0.029 -0.03)71.82% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.63% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)17.37% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)47.77% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.57% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)39.42% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.88% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)76.12% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lens 56.69%
    Toulouse 19.84%
    Draw 23.45%
LensDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-0 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 56.69%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 23.45%
0-1 @ 6.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 19.84%

How you voted: Lens vs Toulouse

Lens
77.3%
Draw
12.0%
Toulouse
10.7%
150
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2015 7pm
Oct 24, 2014 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!