Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Toulouse |
56.69% ( 0) | 23.46% ( 0) | 19.84% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.05% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.18% ( -0.03) | 49.82% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.18% ( -0.03) | 71.82% ( 0.02) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.63% ( -0.01) | 17.37% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.23% ( -0.02) | 47.77% ( 0.01) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.57% ( -0.03) | 39.42% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.88% ( -0.03) | 76.12% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.71% Total : 56.69% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.37% Total : 19.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |