Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Marseille |
27.48% ( 0) | 26.08% ( 0.01) | 46.44% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.63% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.71% ( -0.03) | 53.29% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.16% ( -0.03) | 74.84% ( 0.03) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.68% ( -0.02) | 34.32% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.98% ( -0.02) | 71.02% ( 0.02) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.08% ( -0.02) | 22.92% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.32% ( -0.03) | 56.68% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.48% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 46.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |