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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Lille

Strasbourg
0 - 3
Lille


Le Marchand (19'), Prcic (22'), Nyamsi (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
David (41' pen., 76'), Cabella (80')
Andre (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 2-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Lens
Sunday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Strasbourg 1-1 Lille

Without the towering presence of Ajorque, Strasbourg do not look nearly as intimidating in the attack, but they have fared well defensively at times this year, conceding a goal or fewer in three home fixtures. Les Dogues are putting a lot on the shoulders of Jonathan David at the moment, and the Canadian has delivered, but we expect him to get more attention than any Lille player in this encounter, so his scoring chances could diminish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawLille
31.04% (0.145 0.15) 26.14% (-0.052 -0.05) 42.82% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 52.5% (0.226 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17% (0.265 0.27)51.83% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41% (0.229 0.23)73.59% (-0.226 -0.23)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (0.235 0.23)30.9% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (0.276 0.28)67.19% (-0.273 -0.27)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (0.069999999999993 0.07)24.02% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (0.099000000000004 0.1)58.28% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 31.04%
    Lille 42.81%
    Draw 26.14%
StrasbourgDrawLille
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.12% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 31.04%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 10.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 42.81%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Lille

Strasbourg
14.7%
Draw
22.4%
Lille
62.9%
143
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 4.05pm
Lille
1-0
Strasbourg
Celik (87')
Gudmundsson (36'), Botman (60')

Perrin (40'), Guilbert (70'), Djiku (71')
Sep 25, 2021 6pm
Strasbourg
1-2
Lille
Sissoko (75')
Diallo (19'), Djiku (38'), Le Marchand (38'), Ajorque (83'), Stephan (88')
Thomasson (79')
David (23', 57')
Grbic (70'), Djalo (78'), Xeka (81'), Mandava (90+1')
Feb 28, 2021 4.05pm
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Strasbourg
0-3
Lille

Djiku (42')
Celik (21'), Sanches (53'), Yilmaz (68')
Araujo (59')
Feb 1, 2020 7pm
Strasbourg
1-2
Lille
Thomasson (12')
Carole (79')
Gabriel (65'), Osimhen (79' pen.)
Celik (35'), Xeka (42'), Gabriel (62'), Andre (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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