MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:44:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Lille

Strasbourg
0 - 3
Lille


Le Marchand (19'), Prcic (22'), Nyamsi (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
David (41' pen., 76'), Cabella (80')
Andre (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 2-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Lens
Sunday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Strasbourg 1-1 Lille

Without the towering presence of Ajorque, Strasbourg do not look nearly as intimidating in the attack, but they have fared well defensively at times this year, conceding a goal or fewer in three home fixtures. Les Dogues are putting a lot on the shoulders of Jonathan David at the moment, and the Canadian has delivered, but we expect him to get more attention than any Lille player in this encounter, so his scoring chances could diminish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawLille
31.04% (0.145 0.15) 26.14% (-0.052 -0.05) 42.82% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 52.5% (0.226 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17% (0.265 0.27)51.83% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41% (0.229 0.23)73.59% (-0.226 -0.23)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (0.235 0.23)30.9% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (0.276 0.28)67.19% (-0.273 -0.27)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (0.069999999999993 0.07)24.02% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (0.099000000000004 0.1)58.28% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 31.04%
    Lille 42.81%
    Draw 26.14%
StrasbourgDrawLille
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.12% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 31.04%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 10.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 42.81%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Lille

Strasbourg
14.7%
Draw
22.4%
Lille
62.9%
143
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 4.05pm
Lille
1-0
Strasbourg
Celik (87')
Gudmundsson (36'), Botman (60')

Perrin (40'), Guilbert (70'), Djiku (71')
Sep 25, 2021 6pm
Strasbourg
1-2
Lille
Sissoko (75')
Diallo (19'), Djiku (38'), Le Marchand (38'), Ajorque (83'), Stephan (88')
Thomasson (79')
David (23', 57')
Grbic (70'), Djalo (78'), Xeka (81'), Mandava (90+1')
Feb 28, 2021 4.05pm
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Strasbourg
0-3
Lille

Djiku (42')
Celik (21'), Sanches (53'), Yilmaz (68')
Araujo (59')
Feb 1, 2020 7pm
Strasbourg
1-2
Lille
Thomasson (12')
Carole (79')
Gabriel (65'), Osimhen (79' pen.)
Celik (35'), Xeka (42'), Gabriel (62'), Andre (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!