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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lille

Montpellier
1 - 3
Lille

Wahi (20')
Germain (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
David (41', 90+4'), Gomes (57')
Djalo (16'), Ounas (80'), Gomes (86'), David (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:
Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Ajaccio
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Lille

Last Six:
Last Game: Lille 1-2 Nice
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-2 Lille

 Lille have performed better on the road so far this season, and we can envisage that continuing on Sunday. Montpellier have had a kind fixture list in recent weeks, with the visitors clearly possessing greater quality on paper as well as far fewer injury and suspension concerns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLille
32.67% (-0.312 -0.31) 26.49% (-0.218 -0.22) 40.84% (0.53 0.53)
Both teams to score 51.98% (0.602 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (0.808 0.81)52.77% (-0.81 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (0.688 0.69)74.4% (-0.688 -0.69)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (0.19799999999999 0.2)30.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (0.23699999999999 0.24)66.44% (-0.238 -0.24)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.652 0.65)25.45% (-0.652 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (0.884 0.88)60.28% (-0.885 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 32.67%
    Lille 40.83%
    Draw 26.48%
Montpellier HSCDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 32.67%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.249 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 10.54% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 8.62% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.21% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.115 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.081 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.83%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lille

Montpellier HSC
32.9%
Draw
16.4%
Lille
50.7%
73
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 4pm
Montpellier
0-1
Lille

Ferri (46'), Savanier (83'), Germain (87')
Xeka (77')
Andre (18'), Gomes (22'), Celik (45'), Xeka (64')
Aug 29, 2021 4pm
Lille
2-1
Montpellier
Yazici (45+1'), David (57')
Fonte (25'), Andre (33'), Xeka (43')
Laborde (45+3')
Sambia (24'), Ferri (25'), Laborde (34'), Savanier (56'), Chotard (59'), Mollet (70')
Sambia (73')
Apr 16, 2021 8pm
Lille
1-1
Montpellier
Araujo (85')
Andre (30'), Celik (43'), Mandava (81')
Delort (21')
Mollet (14')
Dec 23, 2020 8pm
Montpellier
2-3
Lille
Laborde (57'), Delort (70')
Der Zakarian (21'), Sambia (50'), Ristic (66'), Ferri (87')
Der Zakarian (90')
Weah (23'), Ikone (68' pen.), Yilmaz (86')
Andre (17'), Xeka (77')
Apr 4, 2020 4.30pm
Montpellier
P-P
Lille
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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