Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Sep 17, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
2 - 1
Strasbourg

Nordin (17'), Savanier (90+4' pen.)
Chotard (30'), Nordin (41'), Esteve (64'), Cozza (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diallo (85')
Aholou (20'), Bellegarde (45+4'), Doukoure (69'), Djiku (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:

Last Game: Angers 2-1 Montpellier
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Clermont	7	-2	10
10	Montpellier HSC	7	3	9
11	Toulouse	7	-3	8

Strasbourg

Last Six:

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, September 11 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Reims	7	-4	6
17	Strasbourg	7	-2	5
18	Brest	7	-9	5

We said: Montpellier HSC 2-0 Strasbourg

Strasbourg can ill-afford anymore slip-ups if they wish to climb up the table and even at this early stage of the campaign, getting points on the board is crucial. Being said, Montpellier are a side that have dominated this fixture in recent seasons, with another victory for the hosts expected to follow this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Strasbourg
31.86% ( -1.84)	26.27% ( -0.31)	41.87% ( 2.16)

Both teams to score 52.4% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.89% (

0.82)

52.11% (

-0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.17% (

0.7)

73.83% (

-0.7)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.51% (

-0.81)

30.49% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.3% (

-0.97)

66.7% (

0.98)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.38% (

1.51)

24.62% (

-1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.87% (

2.06)

59.13% (

-2.06)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 31.86%

Strasbourg 41.87%

Draw 26.27%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.86%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.3) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.61% Total : 41.87%