We said: Lille 1-2 Lens
Lens have been earning plaudits and for good reason this season, given their fantastic performances in the early stage of the season.
For Lille, they have work to do if they wish to compete for the European places this season, but it is unlikely to start against Lens on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.