The Match
Match Report
Clermont are relegated from Ligue 1 owing to a 1-0 home defeat to Lyon, but Metz's loss to Strasbourg keeps Lorient alive.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Metz |
42.91% ( 0.15) | 25.6% ( 0.02) | 31.49% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.44% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
