Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Metz |
40.07% (![]() | 25.92% (![]() | 34.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.9% (![]() | 50.1% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.93% (![]() | 72.07% (![]() |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.35% (![]() | 24.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.83% (![]() | 59.17% (![]() |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% (![]() | 28.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.24% (![]() | 63.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 9.7% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.62% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 12.31% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.93% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.79% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
14 | NantesNantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |