Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.