MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 14:38:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Le Havre

Toulouse
2 - 0
Le Havre

Babicka (70'), Gboho (86')
J (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sangante (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Auxerre
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-1 Le Havre

While Le Havre have reason to be confident heading into this contest, respect must be given to the home side who have only lost out to free-scoring Marseille. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to edge this encounter, kick-starting their season in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawLe Havre
41.24% (-0.307 -0.31) 27.75% (0.153 0.15) 31.01% (0.155 0.16)
Both teams to score 47.63% (-0.38 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.96% (-0.508 -0.51)58.04% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.28% (-0.401 -0.4)78.72% (0.40100000000001 0.4)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.405 -0.41)27.68% (0.406 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (-0.524 -0.52)63.23% (0.52699999999999 0.53)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.86% (-0.155 -0.16)34.13% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.17% (-0.168 -0.17)70.83% (0.169 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 41.23%
    Le Havre 31.01%
    Draw 27.74%
ToulouseDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 12.13% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 41.23%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.181 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 10.15% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 31.01%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Le Havre

Toulouse
65.7%
Draw
25.7%
Le Havre
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 25
Le Havre
1-0
Toulouse
Operi (60')
Operi (84'), Ngoura (90+5')

Keben (90+5')
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Toulouse
1-2
Le Havre
Dallinga (49')
Costa (30'), Schmidt (45+4')
Bayo (83', 90+6')
Casimir (45+2'), N'Diaye (85')
Feb 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Toulouse
4-0
Le Havre
Nicolaisen (23'), Onaiwu (27'), Van den Boomen (48' pen.), N'Goumou (80')
Spierings (19'), Healey (71')

Lekhal (22'), Bonnet (47')
Sep 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Le Havre
1-1
Toulouse
Cornette (67')
Lekhal (90+5')
Boutaib (62')
Onaiwu (34')
Rouault (13'), Onaiwu (51'), Nicolaisen (55'), Desler (60')
May 4, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 34
Le Havre
0-1
Toulouse

Bonnet (4'), Lekhal (69'), Boutaib (89')
Bonnet (60')
Kone (28')
van den Boomen (47'), Gabrielsen (70'), Spierings (77'), Dewaest (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MonacoMonaco76101441019
2Paris Saint-GermainPSG65102051516
3Marseille7421168814
4Lille7412138513
5Reims6321108211
6Lens624052310
7NantesNantes62319639
8StrasbourgStrasbourg6231121029
9Nice622214688
10Rennes7214111107
11Lyon6213812-47
12Saint-EtienneSt Etienne7214618-127
13Brest6204813-56
14Auxerre7205915-66
15Le HavreLe Havre6204713-66
16Toulouse7124610-45
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier6114617-114
18Angers7034513-83


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