Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Le Havre |
41.24% ( -0.31) | 27.75% ( 0.15) | 31.01% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 47.63% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.96% ( -0.51) | 58.04% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.28% ( -0.4) | 78.72% ( 0.4) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.32% ( -0.41) | 27.68% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.77% ( -0.52) | 63.23% ( 0.53) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.86% ( -0.16) | 34.13% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.17% ( -0.17) | 70.83% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.23% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 31.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | MonacoMonaco | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 14 |
4 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
5 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 7 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
16 | Toulouse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |