Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 73.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 9.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.81%) and 3-0 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.