Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Oceane
Le Havre3 - 1Auxerre
We said: Le Havre 1-1 Auxerre
Last week's impressive away victory could set Le Havre up nicely after getting PSG out of the way early on matchday one. Auxerre could do with a result going into the internationals, as Monaco are up next when they return, and two clubs with similar ambitions this season could share the spoils here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Auxerre |
26.49% ( 1.13) | 24.73% ( 0.54) | 48.78% ( -1.67) |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
