Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Le Havre |
49.51% ( -0.01) | 25.07% ( 0) | 25.41% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.02% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.36% ( -0) | 50.64% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.45% ( -0) | 72.55% ( 0.01) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% ( -0) | 20.47% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.06% ( -0.01) | 52.93% ( 0.01) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.41% ( 0) | 34.58% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.69% ( 0) | 71.3% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 11.22% 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.66% Total : 49.51% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.15% Total : 25.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |