Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 56.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.53%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.67%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toulouse in this match.