Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Brest had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Brest |
39.02% ( 0.76) | 25.87% ( 0.18) | 35.11% ( -0.94) |
Both teams to score 54.56% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.3% ( -0.89) | 49.7% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.29% ( -0.8) | 71.71% ( 0.8) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.98% ( -0) | 25.02% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.31% ( -0) | 59.68% ( -0.01) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.77% ( -0.97) | 27.23% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.34% ( -1.28) | 62.65% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.02% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |