Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 45.81%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 25.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
