Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
