Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (11.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.