Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Niort had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Niort win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.
