Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Niort had a probability of 26.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.