Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 54.9%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Sochaux had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Sochaux win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.