Ligue 2 | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade du Roudourou
Guingamp3 - 1Caen
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Guingamp and Caen.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Paris FC 2-0 Guingamp
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Caen 2-1 Amiens
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Caen had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guingamp | Draw | Caen |
46.33% ( -0.77) | 26.18% ( 0.15) | 27.48% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 50.33% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% ( -0.2) | 53.68% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% ( -0.17) | 75.17% ( 0.18) |
| Guingamp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( -0.44) | 23.13% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43% ( -0.66) | 57% ( 0.66) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( 0.39) | 34.52% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.76% ( 0.42) | 71.23% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
Guingamp 46.32%
Caen 27.48%
Draw 26.18%
| Guingamp | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.86% Total : 46.32% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.19% Total : 27.48% |
How you voted: Guingamp vs Caen
Guingamp
70.0%Draw
20.0%Caen
10.0%10
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2024 5pm
Club Friendlies 3
Caen
1-6
Guingamp
Abdi (82')
A. Mendes (27'), Picard (30'), Sabri Guendouz (38'), Louiserre (45+1' pen.), Labeau (61'), Sissoko (90')
Feb 17, 2024 6pm
Sep 30, 2023 6pm
Feb 25, 2023 6pm
