Ligue 2 | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen4 - 1Guingamp
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Guingamp.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dijon 2-2 Caen
Saturday, August 13 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, August 13 at 6pm in Ligue 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guingamp | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Caen | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Bastia | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Last Game: Guingamp 0-0 Paris FC
Saturday, August 13 at 2pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, August 13 at 2pm in Ligue 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guingamp | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Caen | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Bastia | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 27.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Guingamp |
43.49% ( 0.06) | 29.05% ( 0.12) | 27.46% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 42.51% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
