Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Metz had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.