Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Niort had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guingamp in this match.