Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niort win with a probability of 44.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 27.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niort win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Niort would win this match.