Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Metz and Caen.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Amiens 0-2 Metz
Monday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Monday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Goals
for
for
35
Last Game: Caen 3-1 Bastia
Friday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Friday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Caen had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Caen |
49.04% ( -0.84) | 25.95% ( -0.11) | 25% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 49% ( 1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.58% ( 1.11) | 54.41% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.21% ( 0.91) | 75.78% ( -0.92) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% ( 0.09) | 22.22% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.36% ( 0.13) | 55.64% ( -0.13) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63% ( 1.47) | 36.99% ( -1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.22% ( 1.43) | 73.78% ( -1.43) |
| Score Analysis |
Metz 49.04%
Caen 25.01%
Draw 25.95%
| Metz | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.51) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.36)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.76% Total : 25.01% |
How you voted: Metz vs Caen
Metz
73.8%Draw
21.5%Caen
4.6%65
