Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 48.93%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Niort had a probability of 24.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.