Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Niort had a probability of 26.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pau in this match.