Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Niort had a probability of 13.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Troyes in this match.