Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 1-0 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.