Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Paris FC had a probability of 26.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Paris FC win it was 0-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.