Major League Soccer

May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
2 - 3
DC United

Almada (16' pen.), Peltola (48' og.)
Slisz (30'), Almada (45+2'), Giakoumakis (70'), Abram (75')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Benteke (19', 44', 55')
Dajome (38'), Antley (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 DC United

Both teams are quite evenly matched heading into this weekend and that should lead to a competitive and closely contested match. With little between them in the league and with their recent form, it would not be a surprise to see them share the points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	DC United
65.12% ( 5.83)	19.27% ( -1.93)	15.61% ( -3.9)

Both teams to score 55.58% (

-1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.65% (

2.13)

38.35% (

-2.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.37% (

2.22)

60.63% (

-2.22)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.95% (

2.27)

11.05% (

-2.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.6% (

4.78)

35.4% (

-4.78)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.48% (

-3.14)

37.51% (

3.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.7% (

-3.22)

74.3% (

3.22)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 65.12%

DC United 15.61%

Draw 19.27%

Atlanta United	Draw	DC United
2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.75) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( 1.13) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.56) 4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.92) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.62) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.52) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.4) Other @ 4.35% Total : 65.12%	1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.9) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.47) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.43) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.27%	1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.88) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.82) 0-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.62) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.44) Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.61%