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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Aug 28, 2022 at 9pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
DC United

Atlanta
3 - 2
DC United

Franco (49'), Martinez (62'), Sanchez (70')
Sanchez (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morrison (47'), Kamara (55')
Rooney (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, August 21 at 11.48pm in Major League Soccer

DC United

Last Six:
Last Game: DC United 0-6 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 DC United

 Expect this to be a much more respectable scoreline for the visitors but simply put, DC are a team low on confidence and struggling to find any positives at the moment, which should work nicely in Atlanta's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 63.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for DC United had a probability of 16.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawDC United
63.3% (-0.154 -0.15) 19.88% (0.15 0.15) 16.82% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.546 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.11% (-0.716 -0.72)38.88% (0.713 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.8% (-0.756 -0.76)61.19% (0.754 0.75)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.3% (-0.25399999999999 -0.25)11.69% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.21% (-0.545 -0.55)36.79% (0.543 0.54)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.63% (-0.436 -0.44)36.37% (0.433 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.84% (-0.442 -0.44)73.15% (0.44 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 63.3%
    DC United 16.82%
    Draw 19.88%
Atlanta UnitedDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.133 0.13)
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.214 0.21)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.01% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.8% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.76% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 63.3%
1-1 @ 9.23% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.141 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.88%
1-2 @ 4.67%
0-1 @ 4.3% (0.094 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.18% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 16.82%

How you voted: Atlanta vs DC United

Atlanta United
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
DC United
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 12.30am
DC United
0-1
Atlanta

Canouse (34'), Djeffal (38')
Moreno (90+4')
Campbell (33'), Conway (81'), Almada (89')
Sep 18, 2021 8.30pm
Atlanta
3-2
DC United
Barco (18'), Martinez (64'), Bello (87')
Franco (65'), Araujo (81')
Felipe (75'), Flores (90+4')
Brillant (27'), Moreno (34'), Paredes (50'), Alfaro (77')
Aug 22, 2021 1am
DC United
1-2
Atlanta
Reyna (54')
Alfaro (50'), Canouse (58'), Moreno (73'), Gressel (75')
Martinez (25'), Moreno (82')
Bello (29'), (75')
Oct 24, 2020 9pm
Atlanta
1-2
DC United
Gallagher (89')
Barco (39'), Meza (90+1')
Canouse (77'), Rivas (90+2')
Rodrigo Asad (30'), Moreno (86')
Oct 4, 2020 9.30pm
DC United
P-P
Atlanta
rhs 2.0
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