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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Atlanta United

Cincinnati
2 - 2
Atlanta

Vazquez (29'), Brenner (41')
Barreal (14'), Miazga (58'), Blackett (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Almada (17'), Gutman (83')
Wiley (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Seattle
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-2 Atlanta United

 As good as Atlanta have played versus Cincinnati in previous years, this is not nearly the same Orange and Blue side that we have seen in past seasons. They may still allow their share of openings on the back end, but Cincy's quality in the final third is difficult for even the most well-organised defensive units to contain, while the Five Stripes struggle away from home, without a win in their last nine road games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
42.63% (0.196 0.2) 24.97% (-0.299 -0.3) 32.4% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.91% (1.055 1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (1.356 1.36)46.35% (-1.351 -1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (1.265 1.27)68.64% (-1.261 -1.26)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.673 0.67)21.74% (-0.67 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09% (1.017 1.02)54.92% (-1.013 -1.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (0.73 0.73)27.28% (-0.728 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (0.939 0.94)62.72% (-0.935 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 42.63%
    Atlanta United 32.4%
    Draw 24.96%
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.63%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.4%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Atlanta

FC Cincinnati
66.7%
Draw
6.7%
Atlanta United
26.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
0-0
Cincinnati

Almada (8'), Sejdic (42'), Campbell (84')

Hagglund (44'), Kubo (45'), Badji (90+4')
Hagglund (77')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Cincinnati
1-2
Atlanta
Bailey (21')
Stanko (33'), Matarrita (88')
Robinson (70'), Martinez (79')
Hernandez (64'), Araujo (86')
Sep 16, 2021 12am
Atlanta
4-0
Cincinnati
Araujo (5'), Martinez (40', 55'), Barco (86')
Mo (73'), Wolff (90+1')

Brenner (39'), Castillo (45'), Matarrita (54'), Vazquez (79'), Duvall (82')
Jul 22, 2021 1am
Cincinnati
1-1
Atlanta
Acosta (61')
Gyau (38'), Vallecilla (45+3'), Acosta (86')
Hernandez (70')
Sosa (64'), Hernandez (71')
Nov 2, 2020 12am
Atlanta
2-0
Cincinnati
Jahn (8'), Moreno (26' pen.)
Jahn (22')

Amaya (45+3'), Gutman (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218
> Full Version


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