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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Atlanta United

Cincinnati
2 - 2
Atlanta

Vazquez (29'), Brenner (41')
Barreal (14'), Miazga (58'), Blackett (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Almada (17'), Gutman (83')
Wiley (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Seattle
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-2 Atlanta United

 As good as Atlanta have played versus Cincinnati in previous years, this is not nearly the same Orange and Blue side that we have seen in past seasons. They may still allow their share of openings on the back end, but Cincy's quality in the final third is difficult for even the most well-organised defensive units to contain, while the Five Stripes struggle away from home, without a win in their last nine road games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
42.63% (0.196 0.2) 24.97% (-0.299 -0.3) 32.4% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.91% (1.055 1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (1.356 1.36)46.35% (-1.351 -1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (1.265 1.27)68.64% (-1.261 -1.26)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.673 0.67)21.74% (-0.67 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09% (1.017 1.02)54.92% (-1.013 -1.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (0.73 0.73)27.28% (-0.728 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (0.939 0.94)62.72% (-0.935 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 42.63%
    Atlanta United 32.4%
    Draw 24.96%
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.63%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.4%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Atlanta

FC Cincinnati
66.7%
Draw
6.7%
Atlanta United
26.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
0-0
Cincinnati

Almada (8'), Sejdic (42'), Campbell (84')

Hagglund (44'), Kubo (45'), Badji (90+4')
Hagglund (77')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Cincinnati
1-2
Atlanta
Bailey (21')
Stanko (33'), Matarrita (88')
Robinson (70'), Martinez (79')
Hernandez (64'), Araujo (86')
Sep 16, 2021 12am
Atlanta
4-0
Cincinnati
Araujo (5'), Martinez (40', 55'), Barco (86')
Mo (73'), Wolff (90+1')

Brenner (39'), Castillo (45'), Matarrita (54'), Vazquez (79'), Duvall (82')
Jul 22, 2021 1am
Cincinnati
1-1
Atlanta
Acosta (61')
Gyau (38'), Vallecilla (45+3'), Acosta (86')
Hernandez (70')
Sosa (64'), Hernandez (71')
Nov 2, 2020 12am
Atlanta
2-0
Cincinnati
Jahn (8'), Moreno (26' pen.)
Jahn (22')

Amaya (45+3'), Gutman (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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