Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.