

Austin5 - 1Inter Miami
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, May 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Monday, May 23 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Austin FC | 12 | 13 | 23 |
2 | Los Angeles FC | 12 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Dallas | 12 | 10 | 22 |
Thursday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 22 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | New England Revolution | 11 | -2 | 12 |
11 | Inter Miami | 12 | -6 | 12 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 12 | -5 | 11 |
We said: Austin FC 2-0 Inter Miami
Even though they faced perhaps the weakest defensive unit in the league on opening day, the Verde-and-Black look vastly improved in the final third and have thrived on their home field. Despite showing tremendous discipline in their opener, there seems to be a lack of depth in the Miami attack, with Higuain having to do a lot of work himself. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
57.17% | 22.81% | 20.02% |
Both teams to score 52.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.1% | 46.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.85% | 69.15% |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.84% | 16.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.39% | 45.61% |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.44% | 37.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.66% | 74.33% |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 6% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.02% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.22% Total : 57.17% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 5.94% 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 2.91% 1-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.6% Total : 20.02% |