Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 44

Oct 30, 2021 at 6.30pm UK

New Fort Lauderdale Stadium

Inter Miami
1 - 3
NY City

Figal (56')
Shea (29'), Gregore (45+4'), Gonzalez Pirez (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Castellanos (33', 60'), Magno (83')
Callens (52'), Medina (57'), Deila (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	New York City FC
28.52%	24.13%	47.34%

Both teams to score 57.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.54%

44.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.17%

66.83%

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.08%

28.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.2%

64.8%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.09%

18.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.59%

50.41%

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 28.52%

New York City FC 47.34%

Draw 24.14%

Inter Miami	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 7.01% 1-0 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 4.21% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.47% Total : 28.52%	1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.14%	1-2 @ 9.41% 0-1 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 7.59% 1-3 @ 5.22% 0-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.29% Total : 47.34%