Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.