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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Jul 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
National Sports Center
Portland Timbers

Minnesota Utd
4 - 4
Portland

Fragapane (9'), Hlongwane (21'), Amarilla (41', 69')
Boxall (53'), Arriaga (72'), Benitez (75'), Reynoso (90'), Lod (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Blanco (1', 50'), Niezgoda (53'), Lawrence (65' og.)
Chara (18'), Chara (63'), Ayala (73'), Asprilla (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, July 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, July 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Portland Timbers

There is very little to separate the sides heading into this weekend's encounter, which could easily swing either way. We are anticipating an open and end-to-end affair here with a narrow win for the hosts in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.05%. A win for Portland Timbers has a probability of 23.61% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win is 0-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.99%).

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
53.05% (-0.297 -0.3) 23.34% (0.032 0.03) 23.61% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 55.63% (0.215 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.04% (0.132 0.13)44.96% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.68% (0.126 0.13)67.31% (-0.123 -0.12)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.08% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)16.91% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.03% (-0.105 -0.11)46.97% (0.108 0.11)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.95% (0.307 0.31)33.04% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.36% (0.338 0.34)69.63% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 53.05%
    Portland Timbers 23.61%
    Draw 23.33%
Minnesota UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 9.93% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 53.05%
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.19% (0.017 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 23.61%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Portland

Minnesota United
57.1%
Draw
33.3%
Portland Timbers
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2021 10.30pm
Portland
3-1
Minnesota Utd
Mabiala (43'), Blanco (47', 66')
Blanco (19'), Mabiala (86')
Fragapane (11')
Trapp (32'), Gasper (40'), Boxall (73'), Fragapane (85'), Rosales (86'), Dibassy (90+7')
Jul 25, 2021 1am
Minnesota Utd
2-1
Portland
Gasper (74'), Lod (85')
Lod (90+4')
Mora (10')
Jun 27, 2021 4.30am
Mar 2, 2020 12.30am
Portland
1-3
Minnesota Utd
Valeri (55' pen.)
Paredes (43'), Valeri (61'), Chara (71')
Molino (51', 79'), Amarilla (77')
Alonso (31'), Metanire (38')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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