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Major League Soccer
Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Jul 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
National Sports Center
Portland Timbers

Minnesota Utd
4 - 4
Portland

Fragapane (9'), Hlongwane (21'), Amarilla (41', 69')
Boxall (53'), Arriaga (72'), Benitez (75'), Reynoso (90'), Lod (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Blanco (1', 50'), Niezgoda (53'), Lawrence (65' og.)
Chara (18'), Chara (63'), Ayala (73'), Asprilla (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

Last Six:
Last Game: Houston 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, July 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers

Last Six:
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, July 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Portland Timbers

 There is very little to separate the sides heading into this weekend's encounter, which could easily swing either way. We are anticipating an open and end-to-end affair here with a narrow win for the hosts in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.05%. A win for Portland Timbers has a probability of 23.61% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win is 0-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.99%).

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
53.05% (-0.297 -0.3) 23.34% (0.032 0.03) 23.61% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 55.63% (0.215 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.04% (0.132 0.13)44.96% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.68% (0.126 0.13)67.31% (-0.123 -0.12)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.08% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)16.91% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.03% (-0.105 -0.11)46.97% (0.108 0.11)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.95% (0.307 0.31)33.04% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.36% (0.338 0.34)69.63% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 53.05%
    Portland Timbers 23.61%
    Draw 23.33%
Minnesota UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 9.93% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 53.05%
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.19% (0.017 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 23.61%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Portland

Minnesota United
57.1%
Draw
33.3%
Portland Timbers
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2021 10.30pm
Portland
3-1
Minnesota Utd
Mabiala (43'), Blanco (47', 66')
Blanco (19'), Mabiala (86')
Fragapane (11')
Trapp (32'), Gasper (40'), Boxall (73'), Fragapane (85'), Rosales (86'), Dibassy (90+7')
Jul 25, 2021 1am
Minnesota Utd
2-1
Portland
Gasper (74'), Lod (85')
Lod (90+4')
Mora (10')
Jun 27, 2021 4.30am
Portland
0-1
Minnesota Utd

Bravo (15'), Chara (70')
Hunou (2')
Dotson (74'), Reynoso (85')
May 24, 2020 1am
Minnesota Utd
P-P
Portland
Mar 2, 2020 12.30am
Portland
1-3
Minnesota Utd
Valeri (55' pen.)
Paredes (43'), Valeri (61'), Chara (71')
Molino (51', 79'), Amarilla (77')
Alonso (31'), Metanire (38')
rhs 2.0
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